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December 2017

Last week we looked at some long term trends in lamb and sheep trading enterprises. We identified that lamb trading margins were more reliable, but merino wether trading had the potential to offer very good margins, or on the rare occasion, losses. Price seasonality has...

The Christmas spirit continued this week in wool sales with buyers bidding strongly from the Tuesday opening, before becoming slightly more subdued on Thursday. This resulted in strong week-on-week increases across the board, with the 32 MPG in Melbourne the only one to miss out. This...

The last full week of sheep and lamb sales has seen 2017 finish as it began.  Streaking higher.  This week saw the Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator (ESTLI) post a six month high, in spite of a record yarding. There is an old saying in markets....

Christmas presents came early for wool sellers this week with a strong “across the board” result in all three selling centres. The strongest evidence of woolgrower satisfaction was the low pass-in rate of just 3.1% nationally. It was noted in AWEX reports that “buyer interest intensified”...

A tough week in the grain market as the scaleof the global crop continues to bite hard. In this article, we will look at some recent WA forecast releases which paint a bearish tone. Let’s start with the futures market. In figure 1, we can see...

In last weeks comment we mentioned that the rain could provide a short-term boost to lamb prices, and indeed it did. We surmised that the extra moisture could see a pullback in supply with processors fighting it out at the saleyard, although that didn’t appear...

It will come as no surprise that retail lamb prices follow the saleyard and with lamb prices holding their ground into Spring this piece takes a look at what that may mean for the end consumer into the coming season. Figure 1 highlights the price pattern...

With the Christmas recess looming the market regained some upward pressure this week as exporters tried to lock in their requirements. Fine and medium fibre prices built up gradually across the sales, while most of the crossbred market moved into negative territory. The Eastern Market Indicator...

We set out trying to work out what the heavy rain which is falling across all eastern cropping zones over the coming days will do to prices.  It’s not as simple as looking back at 2010-11 when harvest was delayed, as that was a bumper...

Unseasonal rain will have an impact on sheep markets.  This week it had an impact even before it fell, with the Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator rallying back to 613¢/kg cwt this week.  The unpredictable weather might see more surprises yet. The supply, demand and price...