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Grain

The weather continues to be the biggest driver of the market both globally and now increasingly at a local level. The Australian crop is currently on the precipice, with a huge degree of risk currently being priced in. In this weekly comment, I take a...

After an exciting two weeks previously in the grain market, we keep a largely directionless week. The market continues to keep a close eye on the weather around the world, with the wheat production in an increasingly fragile position. Overnight the USDA released the may...

The force is strong in the wheat market, with positive pricing signals coming forth. The northern hemisphere “weather market” period is always the most volatile time for pricing, with the majority of the worlds crop being in the growth phase. After six years of strong...

The world has been awash with wheat over the past six seasons. The adoption of modern farming practices and favorable weather around the world has created a situation where we have produced too much. We take a look at some new projections, and what has...

The wheat market has regained some of its strength on the back of fundamentals. This is great timing as we start to plant the crop for the coming season. In this week’s comment, we look at the SRW/HRW spread and the iron ore market. The wheat...

Sales resumed following the Easter break with the largest offering for the season requiring Melbourne to sell over three days. 54,409 bales were offered with 51,066 sold, well above the weekly average of 41,000 bales sold for this season. Despite the increased offering, the Eastern Market...

For those of a superstitious bent, Friday the 13th is considered to be unlucky. In this week’s comment, we take a look at futures pricing & the USDA update to global wheat supply and demand, in order to determine whether we are lucky or not. The...

The market has been knocked around this week, by both fundamental factors driving pricing and the black swan event in the form of President Trump. Although volatile, the market can provide pricing opportunities for Australian producers. This week has seen a huge degree of uncertainty across...

Trump. The president who sticks to his promises. Overnight the trade scuffle, turned into a trade war with China increasing the number of imports which would attract tariffs after increased rhetoric from the US president. Although not wholly unexpected, this trade war can have huge...

The agricultural trade is always full of interesting moments. As a staple food product, political decisions around the world can have a big impact. In this week’s market comment, we take a look at the conditions in the US, and rumours emanating out of India...